Single Factor Simulation

EQ Simulation project

Single Factor Simulation

BMFH simulation

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#What if….we was supposed to reach the Human Impact Balance at country level by acting only on a single factor?

This kind of scenario is useful to get us aware on the entity of the challenges we are going to face. Every country has as a base the 2020 situation, so it starts with a EQidx due basicly to the relationship between ecological footprint and biocapacity in 2020. The SINGLE FACTOR SIMULATION allows to understand how a specific country have to reduce or increase a specific factor to reach the ecological balance freezing the other driving factors…no matter in how much time.

Referring to the basic EQidx formula, the four driving factors are Population and Footprint per capita at the numerator and Surface and Efficiency Factor at the denominator, where the “equilibrium” is achieved when the result is 1. Using the Single Factor Simulation you will see how should change every single factor to reach the equilibrium (EQidx=1) supposing that is the only factor to move. Pls. note that surface in reality is not a movable factor, so this exercise can show meaningful figures moving singularly one of the three other factors.

This kind of simulation returns results at country level. It is therefore concerned to show us how we should move one single factor to achieve the Human Impact Balance within the country. So f.i. under “Population” you’ll find how many people should live in your country maintaining the current level of both Ecological Footprint (consumption included) and Biocapacity. Under “Footprint per capita” you’ll find what should be the right level in your country keeping stable population and biocapacity. Under “EFFidx” you’ll find how should move the Bio-efficiency index to reach the ecological balance (equilibrium) keeping stable Population and Ecological Footprint.

Start here to draw your own conclusions!

2020 Base

COUNTRY	POPULATION	DEV%	SURFACE	FootPrint xcap	DEV%	EFFidx	DEV%
Brazil	212559417	0	8514877	3.11	0	2.27	0
China	1439323776	0	9598080	3.38	0	1.41	0
United States	331002651	0	9375775	8.22	0	1.33	0
Russia	145934462	0	17098242	5.69	0	0.58	0
India	1380004385	0	3287590	1.16	0	1.89	0
Canada	37742154	0	9984670	8.17	0	0.61	0
Australia	25499884	0	7687850	9.31	0	0.55	0
Indonesia	273523615	0	1919440	1.58	0	1.8	0
Argentina	45195774	0	2780400	3.14	0	1.12	0
France	65273511	0	563732	5.14	0	3.6	0
Bolivia	11673021	0	1098580	2.96	0	1.78	0
Germany	83783942	0	357021	5.3	0	5.33	0
Colombia	50882891	0	1138910	1.87	0	1.61	0
Mexico	128932753	0	1972550	2.89	0	0.83	0
Nigeria	206139589	0	923768	1.16	0	1.56	0
Peru	32971854	0	1285220	2.28	0	1.02	0
Turkey	84339067	0	783562	3.33	0	1.64	0
Sweden	10099265	0	450064	7.25	0	2.38	0
Myanmar	54409800	0	678500	1.43	0	1.48	0
Ukraine	43733762	0	603700	2.84	0	1.64	0
Vietnam	97338579	0	329560	1.65	0	2.95	0
Japan	126476461	0	377835	5.02	0	2.41	0
Thailand	69799978	0	514000	2.66	0	1.68	0
Angola	32866272	0	1246700	0.93	0	0.67	0
Venezuela	28435940	0	912050	3.57	0	0.87	0
Poland	37846611	0	313893	4.44	0	2.51	0
Malaysia	32365999	0	329750	3.71	0	2.37	0
Pakistan	220892340	0	803940	0.79	0	0.96	0
Iran	83992949	0	1648000	2.79	0	0.46	0
Paraguay	7132538	0	406750	4.16	0	1.84	0
Finland	5540720	0	338145	5.87	0	2.2	0
Madagascar	27691018	0	587040	0.99	0	1.24	0
Chile	19116201	0	756950	4.36	0	0.92	0
South Africa	59308690	0	1219912	3.31	0	0.56	0
Ethiopia	114963588	0	1127127	1.02	0	0.59	0
Italy	60461826	0	301340	4.61	0	2.17	0
Tanzania	59734218	0	945087	1.32	0	0.68	0
Mozambique	31255435	0	801590	0.87	0	0.8	0
Kazakhstan	18776707	0	2724900	5.55	0	0.23	0
Bangladesh	164689383	0	147570	0.72	0	4.24	0
Republic of the Congo	5518087	0	342000	1.29	0	1.76	0
Philippines	109581078	0	300000	1.1	0	1.97	0
Gabon	2225734	0	267667	2.02	0	2.19	0
Spain	46754778	0	504782	3.67	0	1.16	0
Egypt	102334404	0	1001450	2.15	0	0.57	0
Suriname	586632	0	163270	4.25	0	3.21	0
Guyana	786552	0	214970	3.07	0	2.44	0
Mongolia	3278290	0	1564116	6.08	0	0.33	0
New Zealand	4822233	0	269187	5.6	0	1.82	0
Ivory Coast	26378274	0	322460	1.27	0	1.46	0
Cameroon	26545863	0	475440	1.17	0	0.94	0
Romania	19237691	0	238391	2.71	0	1.87	0
Norway	5421241	0	385248	4.98	0	1.15	0
Ghana	31072940	0	239460	1.97	0	1.75	0
Zambia	18383955	0	752614	0.99	0	0.54	0
Ecuador	17643054	0	283560	2.17	0	1.37	0
United Kingdom	67886011	0	263545	7.93	0	1.44	0
Central African Republic	4829767	0	622984	1.24	0	0.61	0
Uruguay	3473730	0	176220	2.91	0	2.03	0
Papua New Guinea	8947024	0	462840	1.91	0	0.76	0
South Korea	51269185	0	100210	5.69	0	3.48	0
Belarus	9449323	0	207600	5.09	0	1.66	0
Chad	16425864	0	1284000	1.46	0	0.26	0
French Guiana	298682	0	83534	2.34	0	3.98	0
Mali	20250833	0	1240000	1.53	0	0.26	0
Uzbekistan	33469203	0	447400	2.32	0	0.69	0
Niger	24206644	0	1267000	1.56	0	0.24	0
Denmark (Greenland incl.)	5792202	0	2166086	5.51	0	0.13	0
Austria	9006398	0	83870	6.06	0	3.3	0
Guinea	13132795	0	245857	1.41	0	1.12	0
Kenya	53771296	0	582650	1.03	0	0.47	0
Uganda	45741007	0	236040	1.24	0	1.14	0
Czech Republic	10708981	0	78866	5.19	0	3.34	0
Morocco	36910560	0	712550	1.68	0	0.37	0
Algeria	43851044	0	2381740	2.12	0	0.11	0
Taiwan	23816775	0	35980	5.93	0	6.62	0
Hungary	9660351	0	93030	2.92	0	2.25	0
Mauritania	4649658	0	1030700	2.54	0	0.2	0
Burkina Faso	20903273	0	274200	1.21	0	0.75	0
Somalia	15893222	0	637657	1.24	0	0.32	0
Netherlands	17134872	0	42519	5.28	0	4.72	0
Bulgaria	6948445	0	110910	3.32	0	1.79	0
Afghanistan	38928346	0	647500	0.79	0	0.3	0
Ireland	4937786	0	70280	5.57	0	2.62	0
Cambodia	16718965	0	181040	1.21	0	1.01	0
Latvia	1886198	0	64589	6.29	0	2.79	0
Guatemala	17915568	0	108890	1.89	0	1.63	0
Senegal	16743927	0	196190	1.21	0	0.9	0
Honduras	9904607	0	112090	1.68	0	1.56	0
Namibia	2540905	0	825418	2.48	0	0.21	0
Saudi Arabia	34813871	0	2149690	5.61	0	0.08	0
Nepal	29136808	0	147181	0.98	0	1.17	0
Turkmenistan	6031200	0	488100	5.47	0	0.34	0
Greece	10423054	0	131940	4.38	0	1.27	0
North Korea	25778816	0	120540	1.17	0	1.28	0
Lithuania	2722289	0	65200	5.83	0	2.37	0
Portugal	10196709	0	92391	3.88	0	1.67	0
Yemen	29825964	0	527970	1.03	0	0.28	0
Nicaragua	6624554	0	129494	1.39	0	1.15	0
Slovakia	5459642	0	48845	4.06	0	3.03	0
Estonia	1326535	0	45227	6.86	0	3.09	0
Belgium	11589623	0	30528	7.44	0	4.52	0
United Arab Emirates	9890402	0	82880	4.94	0	1.58	0
Liberia	5057681	0	111370	1.21	0	1.17	0
Panama	4314767	0	78200	2.79	0	1.62	0
Malawi	19129952	0	118480	0.81	0	1.07	0
Laos	7275560	0	236800	1.22	0	0.5	0
Iraq	40222493	0	437072	1.88	0	0.27	0
Croatia	4105267	0	56542	3.92	0	2.03	0
Switzerland	8654622	0	41290	5.79	0	2.72	0
Tunisia	11818619	0	163610	2.34	0	0.67	0
Serbia	8737371	0	88361	2.7	0	1.24	0
Benin	12123200	0	112620	1.41	0	0.95	0
Syria	17500658	0	185180	1.51	0	0.57	0
Sierra Leone	7976983	0	71740	1.24	0	1.38	0
Oman	5106626	0	309500	7.52	0	0.32	0
Sri Lanka	21413249	0	65610	1.32	0	1.44	0
Zimbabwe	14862924	0	390580	1.37	0	0.24	0
Azerbaijan	10139177	0	86600	2.31	0	1	0
Cuba	11326616	0	110860	1.95	0	0.78	0
Kyrgyzstan	6524195	0	198500	1.91	0	0.43	0
Botswana	2351627	0	600370	3.83	0	0.14	0
Costa Rica	5094118	0	51100	2.84	0	1.53	0
Djibouti	9880000	0	23000	2.19	0	3.31	0
Rwanda	12952218	0	26338	0.87	0	2.66	0
Equatorial Guinea	1402985	0	28051	3.97	0	2.2	0
Dominican Republic	10847910	0	48730	1.53	0	1.25	0
Guinea-Bissau	1968001	0	36120	1.53	0	1.65	0
Bosnia and Herzegovina	3280819	0	51129	3.12	0	1.05	0
Tajikistan	9537645	0	143100	0.91	0	0.35	0
Slovenia	2078938	0	20273	5.81	0	2.41	0
Libya	6871292	0	1759540	3.69	0	0.03	0
Georgia	3989167	0	69700	1.58	0	0.67	0
Eritrea	3546421	0	121320	0.49	0	0.38	0
Togo	8278724	0	56785	1.13	0	0.77	0
Bhutan	771608	0	47000	4.84	0	0.87	0
El Salvador	6486205	0	21040	2.07	0	1.88	0
Burundi	11890784	0	27830	0.8	0	1.37	0
Bahamas	393244	0	13940	6.84	0	2.69	0
Qatar	2881053	0	11437	10.8	0	3.12	0
Albania	2877797	0	28748	2.21	0	1.18	0
Moldova	4033963	0	33843	1.78	0	0.95	0
Macedonia	2083374	0	25333	3.26	0	1.24	0
Haiti	11402528	0	27750	0.61	0	1.11	0
Israel (and Palestine)	8655535	0	26990	6.22	0	1.12	0
Solomon Islands	686884	0	28450	1.29	0	1.05	0
Armenia	2963243	0	29800	2.23	0	0.88	0
Kuwait	4270571	0	17820	8.13	0	1.32	0
Timor-Leste	1318445	0	15007	0.48	0	1.56	0
Lebanon	6825445	0	10452	3.84	0	2.15	0
New Caledonia	285498	0	18575	3.58	0	1.18	0
Trinidad and Tobago	1399488	0	5128	7.92	0	4.26	0
Jordan	10203134	0	92300	2.1	0	0.23	0
Fiji	896445	0	18270	2.9	0	1.16	0
Montenegro	628066	0	14026	3.78	0	1.45	0
Gambia	2416668	0	11300	1.03	0	1.75	0
Lesotho	2142249	0	30355	1.66	0	0.55	0
Jamaica	2961167	0	10991	1.89	0	1.16	0
Brunei	437479	0	5770	4.06	0	2.18	0
Luxembourg	625978	0	2586	15.82	0	4.07	0
Swaziland	1160164	0	17363	2.01	0	0.59	0
Bahrain	1701575	0	765	7.49	0	12.9	0
Mauritius	1271768	0	2040	3.46	0	4.43	0
Cyprus	1207359	0	9250	4.21	0	0.44	0
French Polynesia	280908	0	4167	4.73	0	0.92	0
Samoa	198414	0	2994	2.77	0	1.28	0
Cape Verde	555987	0	4033	2.52	0	0.85	0
Singapore	5850342	0	693	7.97	0	4.22	0
Comoros	869601	0	2170	1.03	0	1.28	0
Grenada	112523	0	344	2.98	0	6.41	0
Sao Tome and Principe	219159	0	1001	1.49	0	1.9	0
Guadeloupe	400124	0	1628	3.23	0	1.11	0
Reunion	895312	0	2512	3.65	0	0.64	0
Tonga	105695	0	748	2.7	0	2.09	0
Martinique	375265	0	1128	2.08	0	1.3	0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	110940	0	389	3.11	0	3.59	0
Antigua and Barbuda	97929	0	443	5.38	0	2.08	0
Dominica	71986	0	754	2.57	0	0.98	0
Saint Lucia	183627	0	616	2.45	0	1.01	0
British Virgin Islands	30231	0	153	2.86	0	4.05	0
Aruba	106766	0	180	11.88	0	3.38	0
Barbados	287375	0	431	4.48	0	1.27	0
Saint Kitts and Nevis	53199	0	261	4.94	0	1.26	0
Cayman Islands	65722	0	264	5.65	0	0.8	0
Wallis and Futuna	11239	0	142	2.07	0	1.2	0
Bermuda	62278	0	53.1	5.77	0	1.52	0
Montserrat	4992	0	102	7.78	0	0.67	0
Nauru	10824	0	21	2.94	0	0.98	0
Sudan	41682000	0	1886068	1.33	0	0	0
South Sudan	12657941	0	619745	1.33	0	0	0
Congo Democratic Republic	99320000	0	2345410	0.81	0	0	0
Island	366700	0	102819	0	0	0	0
Belize	377968	0	22966	5.99	0	0	0
Vanuatu	272459	0	12200	0	0	0	0
Kiribati	110136	0	811	0	0	0	0
Micronesia	135869	0	702	2.8	0	0	0
Andorra	85458	0	468	0	0	0	0
Palau	20918	0	458	0	0	0	0
Seychelles	95652	0	455	0	0	0	0
Malta	493559	0	316	5.68	0	0	0
Maldive	392709	0	300	0	0	0	0
Isole Marshall	56429	0	181	0	0	0	0
Liechtenstein	37500	0	160	0	0	0	0
San Marino	33909	0	61	0	0	0	0
Tuvalu	9827	0	26	0	0	0	0
Monaco	40000	0	2	0	0	0	0
Vatican	618	0	0.44	0	0	0	0
WORLD	7794502378	0	135914261.54	2.75	0	1	0

Single factor simulation

COUNTRY	POPULATION	DEV%	SURFACE	FootPrint xcap	DEV%	EFFidx	DEV%
Brazil	620591481	192	8514877	9.08	192	0.78	-65.6
China	400285310	-72.2	9598080	0.94	-72.2	5.07	259.6
United States	151407538	-54.3	9375775	3.76	-54.3	2.9	118
Russia	174146748	19.3	17098242	6.79	19.3	0.49	-15.5
India	535346528	-61.2	3287590	0.45	-61.2	4.87	157.7
Canada	73959839	96	9984670	16.01	96	0.31	-49.2
Australia	45384863	78	7687850	16.57	78	0.31	-43.6
Indonesia	218126427	-20.3	1919440	1.26	-20.3	2.25	25
Argentina	99603425	120.4	2780400	6.92	120.4	0.51	-54.5
France	39494283	-39.5	563732	3.11	-39.5	5.95	65.3
Bolivia	65976230	465.2	1098580	16.73	465.2	0.31	-82.6
Germany	35884820	-57.2	357021	2.27	-57.2	12.44	133.4
Colombia	97956367	92.5	1138910	3.6	92.5	0.84	-47.8
Mexico	56659029	-56.1	1972550	1.27	-56.1	1.89	127.7
Nigeria	124394579	-39.7	923768	0.7	-39.7	2.59	66
Peru	57411517	74.1	1285220	3.97	74.1	0.58	-43.1
Turkey	38497111	-54.4	783562	1.52	-54.4	3.58	118.3
Sweden	14793681	46.5	450064	10.62	46.5	1.63	-31.5
Myanmar	70009812	28.7	678500	1.84	28.7	1.15	-22.3
Ukraine	34956211	-20.1	603700	2.27	-20.1	2.06	25.6
Vietnam	58993078	-39.4	329560	1	-39.4	4.87	65.1
Japan	18140050	-85.7	377835	0.72	-85.7	16.8	597.1
Thailand	32538335	-53.4	514000	1.24	-53.4	3.61	114.9
Angola	90117197	174.2	1246700	2.55	174.2	0.25	-62.7
Venezuela	22143393	-22.1	912050	2.78	-22.1	1.11	27.6
Poland	17729943	-53.2	313893	2.08	-53.2	5.35	113.1
Malaysia	21024813	-35	329750	2.41	-35	3.64	53.6
Pakistan	97863694	-55.7	803940	0.35	-55.7	2.17	126
Iran	27094499	-67.7	1648000	0.9	-67.7	1.42	208.7
Paraguay	18037091	152.9	406750	10.52	152.9	0.73	-60.3
Finland	12686077	129	338145	13.44	129	0.96	-56.4
Madagascar	73563007	165.7	587040	2.63	165.7	0.47	-62.1
Chile	15915552	-16.7	756950	3.63	-16.7	1.1	19.6
South Africa	20605738	-65.3	1219912	1.15	-65.3	1.61	187.5
Ethiopia	65371452	-43.1	1127127	0.58	-43.1	1.04	76.3
Italy	14164592	-76.6	301340	1.08	-76.6	9.25	326.3
Tanzania	48873451	-18.2	945087	1.08	-18.2	0.83	22.1
Mozambique	74007121	136.8	801590	2.06	136.8	0.34	-57.5
Kazakhstan	11536679	-38.6	2724900	3.41	-38.6	0.38	65.2
Bangladesh	86919396	-47.2	147570	0.38	-47.2	8.04	89.6
Republic of the Congo	46668472	745.7	342000	10.91	745.7	0.21	-88.1
Philippines	53794347	-50.9	300000	0.54	-50.9	4.02	104.1
Gabon	28989634	1202.5	267667	26.31	1202.5	0.17	-92.2
Spain	15924651	-65.9	504782	1.25	-65.9	3.4	193.1
Egypt	26654542	-74	1001450	0.56	-74	2.2	286
Suriname	12330314	2001.9	163270	89.33	2001.9	0.15	-95.3
Guyana	17058186	2068.7	214970	66.58	2068.7	0.11	-95.5
Mongolia	8443753	157.6	1564116	15.66	157.6	0.13	-60.6
New Zealand	8731686	81.1	269187	10.14	81.1	1	-45.1
Ivory Coast	36971124	40.2	322460	1.78	40.2	1.04	-28.8
Cameroon	38344024	44.4	475440	1.69	44.4	0.65	-30.9
Romania	16469167	-14.4	238391	2.32	-14.4	2.19	17.1
Norway	8904769	64.3	385248	8.18	64.3	0.7	-39.1
Ghana	21293639	-31.5	239460	1.35	-31.5	2.56	46.3
Zambia	41410322	125.3	752614	2.23	125.3	0.24	-55.6
Ecuador	17886967	1.4	283560	2.2	1.4	1.35	-1.5
United Kingdom	4793967	-92.9	263545	0.56	-92.9	20.43	1318.8
Central African Republic	30653440	534.7	622984	7.87	534.7	0.1	-83.6
Uruguay	12319207	254.6	176220	10.32	254.6	0.57	-71.9
Papua New Guinea	18362478	105.2	462840	3.92	105.2	0.37	-51.3
South Jorea	6127073	-88	100210	0.68	-88	29.11	736.5
Belarus	6757472	-28.5	207600	3.64	-28.5	2.32	39.8
Chad	22838701	39	1284000	2.03	39	0.19	-26.9
French Guiana	14212923	4658.5	83534	111.35	4658.5	0.08	-98
Mali	20912624	3.3	1240000	1.58	3.3	0.25	-3.8
Uzbekistan	13272270	-60.3	447400	0.92	-60.3	1.74	152.2
Niger	19241178	-20.5	1267000	1.24	-20.5	0.3	25
Denmark (Greenland incl.)	5024814	-13.2	2166086	4.78	-13.2	0.15	15.4
Austria	4562647	-49.3	83870	3.07	-49.3	6.51	97.3
Guinea	19466341	48.2	245857	2.09	48.2	0.75	-33
Kenya	26624622	-50.5	582650	0.51	-50.5	0.95	102.1
Uganda	21763866	-52.4	236040	0.59	-52.4	2.4	110.5
Czech Republic	5075933	-52.6	78866	2.46	-52.6	7.05	111.1
Morocco	15599105	-57.7	712550	0.71	-57.7	0.87	135.1
Algeria	12203828	-72.2	2381740	0.59	-72.2	0.39	254.5
Taiwan	4016319	-83.1	35980	1	-83.1	39.25	492.9
Hungary	7179096	-25.7	93030	2.17	-25.7	3.03	34.7
Mauritania	8200971	76.4	1030700	4.48	76.4	0.11	-45
Burkina Faso	16929923	-19	274200	0.98	-19	0.92	22.7
Somalia	16277735	2.4	637657	1.27	2.4	0.31	-3.1
Netherlands	3796931	-77.8	42519	1.17	-77.8	21.28	350.8
Bulgaria	5985708	-13.9	110910	2.86	-13.9	2.08	16.2
Afghanistan	24638193	-36.7	647500	0.5	-36.7	0.47	56.7
Ireland	3306632	-33	70280	3.73	-33	3.91	49.2
Cambodia	15060885	-9.9	181040	1.09	-9.9	1.12	10.9
Latvia	2863782	51.8	64589	9.55	51.8	1.84	-34.1
Guatemala	9384345	-47.6	108890	0.99	-47.6	3.11	90.8
Senegal	14529854	-13.2	196190	1.05	-13.2	1.03	14.4
Honduras	10435210	5.4	112090	1.77	5.4	1.48	-5.1
Namibia	7048962	177.4	825418	6.88	177.4	0.08	-61.9
Saudi Arabia	3102840	-91.1	2149690	0.5	-91.1	0.91	1037.5
Nepal	17541547	-39.8	147181	0.59	-39.8	1.94	65.8
Turkmenistan	3076242	-49	488100	2.79	-49	0.68	100
Greece	3831305	-63.2	131940	1.61	-63.2	3.46	172.4
North Korea	13219905	-48.7	120540	0.6	-48.7	2.5	95.3
Lithuania	2647577	-2.7	65200	5.67	-2.7	2.43	2.5
Portugal	3968306	-61.1	92391	1.51	-61.1	4.28	156.3
Yemen	14478623	-51.5	527970	0.5	-51.5	0.58	107.1
Nicaragua	10723198	61.9	129494	2.25	61.9	0.71	-38.3
SlovaKia	3644243	-33.3	48845	2.71	-33.3	4.54	49.8
Estonia	2036211	53.5	45227	10.53	53.5	2.01	-35
Belgium	1853716	-84	30528	1.19	-84	28.25	525
United Arab Emirates	2642779	-73.3	82880	1.32	-73.3	5.9	273.4
Liberia	10742347	112.4	111370	2.57	112.4	0.55	-53
Panama	4546743	5.4	78200	2.94	5.4	1.54	-4.9
Malawi	15587368	-18.5	118480	0.66	-18.5	1.31	22.4
Laos	9660989	32.8	236800	1.62	32.8	0.37	-26
Iraq	6204533	-84.6	437072	0.29	-84.6	1.73	540.7
Croatia	2932333	-28.6	56542	2.8	-28.6	2.85	40.4
Switzerland	1943179	-77.5	41290	1.3	-77.5	12.14	346.3
Tunisia	4697143	-60.3	163610	0.93	-60.3	1.69	152.2
Serbia	4045079	-53.7	88361	1.25	-53.7	2.67	115.3
Benin	7566252	-37.6	112620	0.88	-37.6	1.52	60
Syria	6953903	-60.3	185180	0.6	-60.3	1.43	150.9
Sierra Leone	7976983	0	71740	1.24	0	1.38	0
Oman	1303819	-74.5	309500	1.92	-74.5	1.24	287.5
Sri Lanka	7137749	-66.7	65610	0.44	-66.7	4.31	199.3
Zimbabwe	6726286	-54.7	390580	0.62	-54.7	0.52	116.7
Azerbaijan	3730865	-63.2	86600	0.85	-63.2	2.7	170
Cuba	4414475	-61	110860	0.76	-61	1.99	155.1
Kyrgyzstan	4440551	-31.9	198500	1.3	-31.9	0.63	46.5
Botswana	2130586	-9.4	600370	3.47	-9.4	0.15	7.1
Costa Rica	2744366	-46.1	51100	1.53	-46.1	2.83	85
Djibouti	3473789	-64.8	23000	0.77	-64.8	9.41	184.3
Rwanda	8039307	-37.9	26338	0.54	-37.9	4.28	60.9
Equatorial Guinea	1554945	10.8	28051	4.4	10.8	1.99	-9.5
Dominican Republic	3970476	-63.4	48730	0.56	-63.4	3.41	172.8
Guinea-Bissau	3897413	98	36120	3.03	98	0.83	-49.7
Bosnia and Herzegovina	1714017	-47.8	51129	1.63	-47.8	2	90.5
Tajikistan	5554892	-41.8	143100	0.53	-41.8	0.61	74.3
Slovenia	840878	-59.6	20273	2.35	-59.6	5.96	147.3
Libya	1303497	-81	1759540	0.7	-81	0.14	366.7
Georgia	2954003	-25.9	69700	1.17	-25.9	0.9	34.3
Eritrea	9408872	165.3	121320	1.3	165.3	0.14	-63.2
Togo	3882941	-53.1	56785	0.53	-53.1	1.65	114.3
Bhutan	840159	8.9	47000	5.27	8.9	0.79	-9.2
El Salvador	1911393	-70.5	21040	0.61	-70.5	6.38	239.4
Burundi	4756313	-60	27830	0.32	-60	3.42	149.6
Bahamas	549046	39.6	13940	9.55	39.6	1.93	-28.3
Qatar	330787	-88.5	11437	1.24	-88.5	27.21	772.1
Albania	1536561	-46.6	28748	1.18	-46.6	2.21	87.3
Moldova	1813017	-55.1	33843	0.8	-55.1	2.12	123.2
Macedonia	964998	-53.7	25333	1.51	-53.7	2.68	116.1
Haiti	5047020	-55.7	27750	0.27	-55.7	2.51	126.1
Israel (and Palestine)	487047	-94.4	26990	0.35	-94.4	19.95	1681.3
Solomon Islands	2321561	238	28450	4.36	238	0.31	-70.5
Armenia	1182639	-60.1	29800	0.89	-60.1	2.22	152.3
Kuwait	288907	-93.2	17820	0.55	-93.2	19.48	1375.8
Timor-Leste	4889233	270.8	15007	1.78	270.8	0.42	-73.1
Lebanon	586561	-91.4	10452	0.33	-91.4	25.08	1066.5
New Caledonia	611667	114.2	18575	7.67	114.2	0.55	-53.4
Trinidad and Tobago	275656	-80.3	5128	1.56	-80.3	21.61	407.3
Jordan	1020313	-90	92300	0.21	-90	2.32	908.7
Fiji	732611	-18.3	18270	2.37	-18.3	1.42	22.4
Montenegro	538342	-14.3	14026	3.24	-14.3	1.69	16.6
Gambia	1923949	-20.4	11300	0.82	-20.4	2.2	25.7
Lesotho	1006598	-53	30355	0.78	-53	1.17	112.7
Jamaica	673704	-77.2	10991	0.43	-77.2	5.09	338.8
Brunei	309252	-29.3	5770	2.87	-29.3	3.08	41.3
Luxembourg	66475	-89.4	2586	1.68	-89.4	38.29	840.8
Swaziland	507932	-56.2	17363	0.88	-56.2	1.34	127.1
Bahrain	131764	-92.3	765	0.58	-92.3	166.6	1191.5
Mauritius	260969	-79.5	2040	0.71	-79.5	21.57	386.9
Cyprus	97506	-91.9	9250	0.34	-91.9	5.5	1150
French Polynesia	81362	-71	4167	1.37	-71	3.19	246.7
Samoa	138245	-30.3	2994	1.93	-30.3	1.84	43.8
Cape Verde	136790	-75.4	4033	0.62	-75.4	3.47	308.2
Singapore	36702	-99.4	693	0.05	-99.4	672.83	15843.8
Comoros	270167	-68.9	2170	0.32	-68.9	4.13	222.7
Grenada	74008	-34.2	344	1.96	-34.2	9.75	52.1
Sao Tome and Principe	127965	-41.6	1001	0.87	-41.6	3.26	71.6
Guadeloupe	55744	-86.1	1628	0.45	-86.1	7.94	615.3
Reunion	44152	-95.1	2512	0.18	-95.1	13.01	1932.8
Tonga	57936	-45.2	748	1.48	-45.2	3.82	82.8
Martinique	70362	-81.3	1128	0.39	-81.3	6.92	432.3
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	44946	-59.5	389	1.26	-59.5	8.87	147.1
Antigua and Barbuda	17110	-82.5	443	0.94	-82.5	11.89	471.6
Dominica	28850	-59.9	754	1.03	-59.9	2.45	150
Saint Lucia	25482	-86.1	616	0.34	-86.1	7.3	622.8
British Virgin Islands	21669	-28.3	153	2.05	-28.3	5.65	39.5
Aruba	5122	-95.2	180	0.57	-95.2	70.47	1984.9
Barbados	12187	-95.8	431	0.19	-95.8	29.87	2252
Saint Kitts and Nevis	6676	-87.4	261	0.62	-87.4	10.07	699.2
Cayman Islands	3722	-94.3	264	0.32	-94.3	14.07	1658.8
Wallis and Futuna	8198	-27.1	142	1.51	-27.1	1.64	36.7
Bermuda	1403	-97.7	53.1	0.13	-97.7	67.67	4352
Montserrat	872	-82.5	102	1.36	-82.5	3.81	468.7
Nauru	699	-93.5	21	0.19	-93.5	15.15	1445.9
Sudan	37921218	-9	1886068	1.21	-9	0.29	#DIV/0!
South Sudan	11515871	-9	619745	1.21	-9	0.27	#DIV/0!
Congo Democratic Republic	323709629	225.9	2345410	2.64	225.9	0.34	#DIV/0!
Island	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	102819	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
Belize	237255	-37.2	22966	3.76	-37.2	0.99	#DIV/0!
Vanuatu	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	12200	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
Kiribati	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	811	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
Micronesia	104813	-22.9	702	2.16	-22.9	5.42	#DIV/0!
Andorra	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	468	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
Palau	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	458	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
Seychelles	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	455	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
Malta	50398	-72.2	316	0.58	-72.2	88.72	#DIV/0!
Maldive	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	300	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
Isole Marshall	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	181	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
Liechtenstein	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	160	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
San Marino	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	61	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
Tuvalu	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	26	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
Monaco	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	2	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
Vatican	#DIV/0!	#DIV/0!	0.44	0	#DIV/0!	0	#DIV/0!
WORLD	5266872287.655	-32.5	135914261.54	1.73	-37	1.66	66

Global Footprint Network National Footprint and Biocapacity Accounts, 2021 Edition Downloaded [download date] from https://data.footprintnetwork.org.

How to read the simulation

1. Type on both search field the name of the country you want, for example “France”
2. Viewing data. The first table shows the situation in 2020; the second table shows how each single factor should be moved to achieve the Human Impact Balance, assuming that the other factors remain unchanged

Example France. The simulator shows that if we had to act only on the population while leaving the other factors at unchanged levels, the popolation would have to decrease by 39,5% to reach Human Impact Balance. What does it mean?

Just to live in a sustainable country, keeping stable the current lifestyle and bio-productivity, France has currently an overpopulation of 39,5%.

Wanting to act on the ecological footprint while leaving the population and biocapacity unchanged, we would have to reduce it by 39,5% here too.

Wanting to act on biocapacity while leaving the other factors unchanged, we should instead be very good at increasing the Bio-efficiency by 66%.

In cases where countries are in ecological reserve conditions (i.e. where the total biocapacity is higher than the ecological footprint, and therefore the conditions of Human Impact Balance already exist) the simulator returns data related to the limits where each single factor can be pushed not to break the ecological balance within the country.

Take a look at Brazil! Here with the current lifestyle, up to more than 620 million people could theoretically live (192% more than today). By the same principle, if the population and biocapacity remained the same, Brazilians could afford a level of ecological footprint (and for extension consumption), almost tripled compared to today (+192%) .

Conclusions

Of course this simulation is totally unrealistic as a whole, and it’s limited to an analysis of the resources of each individual country. However, it is an excellent point of view to make us understand how much we have exceeded or how far are from the limits of any factor affecting the Human Impact Balance. With the simulator it is possible to obtain the data of almost all the nations of the world.

Thanks for your donation, all this work is voluntary and unpaid. Every small donations allow me to continue to work in order to get people aware on how to build together a sustainable world!

Quest’opera è distribuita con Licenza Creative Commons Attribuzione 4.0 Internazionale.